time travel

Apropos of “people…heavily discount the future relative to the present,” I am reminded of all the ways in which this limitation impairs our decisions, from how we address global warming to our credit card purchases.

As we age, we travel through time. I am now meeting the me I would become. My debts? I sent those to my future self a few years ago. Along with a note “Having a blast. Wish you were here.”

Young people, in particular, must have the hardest time accounting for the future because they’ve done the least traveling through time.

…in bed

From the same 1988 essay I keep citing, a statement that could have been written this summer in reference to the wealth that is being destroyed: “The transition from signs which dissimulate something to signs which dissimulate that there is nothing, marks the decisive turning point.”

Then again, it’s easier to be “prophetic” with opaque prose (e.g. fortune cookies.)

the economy of the sign

A few months ago I made the not very original observation that the era we are leaving (from Reagan to Bush II, from junk bonds to synthetic cdo’s) was partly shaped by the idea that simulation could supplant reality.

(An infamous example from 2004: ”We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality.”)

Well, John Lanchester actually did some of the hard work of explaining what this means in the New Yorker.

(Also, yes, I’m a month behind on the New Yorker. I’ve read there’s a very exciting election coming. I hope Obama wins!)

studio patrons

A “studio account executive” at an LA DWR published his distribution list today. Here’s one look at the 435 recipients:

domain frequency distribution in DWR email distribution list

That sure is a lot of .mac users.

coyotes

Sitting in the living room, I looked out at Ana who was standing at the far end of the backyard, photographing a salamander that she’d fished out of the pool, when I saw a gray and white blur move past her. Then another and another. And another.

virtues

I couldn’t figure out why this BBC News story about a Russian art bubble bursting was so downbeat but then I realized the author, Marina Denysenko, was trying to create a narrative – to help us care.

Only, we shouldn’t care. As one quoted observer notes: “There are no longer prices exceeding original estimates ten-fold.” That’s a good thing. If anything, Denysenko should be celebrating a return to prudence.

the new way of doing business

A few weeks ago I was thinking about performance: the simulation of the last 25 or so years versus the execution needed for us to survive the 21st century and promised by Barack Obama.

Over the last two days, President-Elect Obama has held two press conferences. Both have been highly effective. This morning he managed to get the following two warning shots off without effort. And I paraphrase:

“you mentioned that they’re my friends, but that’s not why we chose them. that was the old way of doing business. the new way of doing business is choosing people who are effective.”

“i’m sorry we sat you in the White Sox section. by the way, that’s part of the new way of doing business. we admit our mistakes.”

update: from a transcript.

I want to be clear; friendship doesn’t factor into this. That’s part of the old way of doing business.

The new way of doing business is, let’s figure out what projects, what investments are going to give the American economy the most bang for the buck; how can we protect taxpayer dollars, so that this money is not wasted; restore a sense of confidence among taxpayers that when we spend our money, it’s on things that are actually going to improve their quality of life, create the jobs that are so desperately needed, help to spur on economic growth and business creation in the private sector. That’s all part of the new way of doing business…

…And the reason I’m going to call on Steve: I understand that as a lifelong White Sox fan, you were placed in the Cubs section yesterday, and I want to apologize for that. It – I – this is also part of the new way of doing business. When we make mistakes we admit them. So.

Q Well, thank you, sir. That’s the change we need –

dissolute

no structure, no gain:

Normally, a big bank would never allow the word of just one executive to carry so much weight. Instead, it would have its risk managers aggressively look over any shoulder and guard against trading or lending excesses.

But many Citigroup insiders say the bank’s risk managers never investigated deeply enough. Because of longstanding ties that clouded their judgment, the very people charged with overseeing deal makers eager to increase short-term earnings — and executives’ multimillion-dollar bonuses — failed to rein them in, these insiders say.

the observer effect

I want to be skeptical, but Soros’ reflexivity argument is elegant.

And this is delightful dishing of the “oh-no-he-didn’t” variety:

Alan Greenspan was a past master of manipulation with his Delphic utterances, but instead of acknowledging what he was doing he pretended that he was merely a passive observer of the facts. Reflexivity remained a state secret. That is why the super-bubble could develop so far during his tenure.

What happens when the referee enjoys the game so much he stops making calls to prolong it?

density

I didn’t know this but, also, I always knew it: New York City is the densest city in America. San Francisco is next.

flight to safety

Amazing. on Marketplace, Lisa Broome speculates that General Motors may be motivated to become a bank-holding company so that it can submit to regulation and thus inspire investor confidence. Yes, regulation to inspire investor confidence.